Document (#41205)

Author

Gordon, T.J.
Helmer-Hirschberg, O.

Title

Report on a long-range forecasting study

Imprint

Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND Cooperation

Year

1964

Pages

xi, 65 S

Series

RAND paper; P-2982

Abstract

Description of an experimental trend-predicting exercise covering a time period as far as 50 years into the future. The Delphi technique is used in soliciting the opinions of experts in six areas: scientific breakthroughs, population growth, automation, space progress, probability and prevention of war, and future weapon systems. Possible objections to the approach are also discussed.

Content

Vgl.: https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P2982.html.

Theme

Vision

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