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Chan, L.M.; Hodges, T.: Entering the millennium : a new century for LCSH (2000)
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- Date
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- Series
- Cataloging and classification quarterly; vol.29, nos.1/2
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Barker, P.: Electronic libraries of the future (1997)
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Rasche, M.: Bibliothek der Zukunft (2002)
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- ProLibris. 7(2002) H.1, S.28-29
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Payer, M.: ¬Die virtuelle Bibliothek : Erschließung der Ressourcen (1995)
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- Bibliotheksdienst. 29(1995) H.8, S.1278-1287
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Lerche, C.: ¬Der Zauber des freien Wissens (2002)
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- 29. 1.1997 18:49:05
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Opaschowski, H.W.: ¬Die digitale Revolution fällt aus (2001)
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- Content
- "Für Optimisten wie den amerikanischen Computerwissenschaftler Nicholas Negroponte bricht das kommende Digitalzeitalter wie eine Naturgewalt über uns herein. Als Zukunftsforscher kann ich jedoch nicht in den Tenor der üblichen kühnen Prophezeiungen der Medienbranche einstimmen. In Deutschland und den USA wird zwar viel über E-Commerce spekuliert. In Wirklichkeit nutzen aber die privaten Verbraucher dort Shopping, Reisebuchung und Bücherkauf per PC kaum (je unter 3 %), Hornebanking nur 5 % der Amerikaner und 3 % der Deutschen. Obwohl immer mehr Firmen online gehen, halten die Verbraucher weitgehend an ihren außerhäuslichen Konsumgewohnheiten fest. Bisher bietet das Netz gefühls- und erlebnismäßig einfach zu wenig. Auch 2010 werden über 90 % des privaten Verbrauchs nicht über OnlineGeschäfte getätigt. Selbst wenn sich der E-Commerce-Umsatz der privaten Verbraucher jährlich verdoppeln sollte, werden die Online-Geschäfte in Deutschland auch 2002 keine 3 % des Einzelhandelsumsatzes ausmachen (derzeit: 22 Milliarden Mark Einzelhandelsumsatz zu 2,5 Milliarden aus Online-Geschäften). Die Frage, warum Online-Shopping so wenig Resonanz findet, lässt sich auf folgende Ursachen zurückführen: Erlebniskonsum in den Shopping-Centern ist attraktiver; wachsende Ungeduld bei langem Laden der Website, Unzufriedenheit über verwirrend gestaltete Online-Shops, Enttäuschung über nicht verfügbare Produkte sowie Abbruch der Kaufabsicht, wenn das Shop-System abstürzt. Leider findet die digitale Revolution in Deutschland bisher fast nur auf Unternehmensseite statt, die Fragen nach den Bedürfnissen der Konsumenten bleiben weitgehend unbeantwortet.
Wer sich ernsthaft um die eigene Zukunft Gedanken macht, wird die Altersvorsorge nicht nur als materielle, sondern auch als körperliche, soziale und mentale Daseinsvorsorge begreifen. Denn bessere Lebensbedingungen und medizinischer Fortschritt haben nicht nur die Lebenserwartung, sondern auch die durchschnittliche Rentenbezugsdauer verlängert (zum Beispiel 1960: 10 Jahre, 2000: 20 Jahre). Die meisten werden zukünftig ein Vierteljahrhundert im Ruhestand leben "müssen". Daher werden in der immer älter werdenden Gesellschaft Pharmaforschung, Bio- und Gentechnologien im Kampf gegen Krebs, Alzheimer oder Demenz boomen sowie gesundheitsnahe Branchen, die Care und Wellness, Vitalität und Revitalisierung anbieten. - Frauen bevorzugen weiterhin KKK und nicht WWW - Eine andere optimistische Prognose zum digitalen Zeitalter hält auch nicht stand. So verkündet eine aktuelle Werbekampagne der deutschen Bundesregierung den Slogan "Drei K sind out, WWW ist in. Kinder, Küche, Kirche sind für Frauen nicht mehr das Ein und Alles ..." Diese Behauptung geht weit an der Wirklichkeit des Jahres 2001 vorbei. Die Frauenpower von heute findet noch immer mehr in der Kirche als im World Wide Web statt. Nur 4 % der Frauen in Deutschland (Männer: 13 %) nutzen wenigstens einmal in der Woche privat Online-Dienste. Der Anteil der Frauen, die regelmäßig jede Woche in die Kirche gehen, ist fast fünfmal so hoch (19 %) - von den Besuchen in der Küche ganz zu schweigen; auch Kinder sind noch lange nicht abgeschrieben. Die Zuneigung der Deutschen zum Computer hält sich in Grenzen. Repräsentative Studien belegen, dass derzeit über 80 % der Bevölkerung in der Regel keinen PC zu Hause nutzen, dafür lieber an ihren alten TV-Gewohnheiten zwischen Tagesschau und Sportsendung festhalten, zwischendurch Handy-Kontakte aufnehmen oder den Anrufbeantworter "abarbeiten". Laut Verband der Elektrotechnik hat der Anteil der so genannten Computer-Muffel seit 1998 sogar zugenommen. Das PC-Zeitalter beziehungsweise Online-Jahrhundert ist offenbar schon zu Ende, bevor es überhaupt begonnen hat."
-
Mendelsohn, S.: ¬The future of librarians (1994)
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- Information world review. 1994, no.95, September, S.28-29
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Heath, F.: Libraries, information technology, and the future (1995)
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- Date
- 29. 3.1996 18:37:48
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Rosemann, U.: Auf dem Weg zu dem Kompetenzzentrum für Literaturversorgung : TIB zum Start von GetInfo (2002)
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Keys, M.: Beyond Gutenberg and gigabytes : librarians and the emerging digital revolution (1995)
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Berners-Lee, T.; Hendler, J.; Lassila, O.: ¬The Semantic Web : a new form of Web content that is meaningful to computers will unleash a revolution of new possibilities (2001)
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- 31.12.1996 19:29:41
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MacDonald, A.H.: ¬The survival of libraries in the electronic age (1994)
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Degkwitz, A.: Bologna, University 2.0 : Akademisches Leben als Web-Version? (2008)
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Gastinger, A.: Von der "electronic library" zur "enhanced library" : ein Bericht von der 9. International Bielefed Konferenz 2009 (2009)
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Phillpot, C.: Book museum or virtual libraries (1994)
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Jaspers, M.; Pollakowsky, N.: Futur: Visionen für die Gesellschaft der Zukunft (2002)
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Matson, L.D.; Bonski, D.J.: Do digital libraries need librarians? (1997)
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Cawkell, T.: ¬The information age : for better or for worse (1998)
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- Date
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