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Mingers, J.; Burrell, Q.L.: Modeling citation behavior in Management Science journals (2006) 0.04
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Abstract

Citation rates are becoming increasingly important in judging the research quality of journals, institutions and departments, and individual faculty. This paper looks at the pattern of citations across different management science journals and over time. A stochastic model is proposed which views the generating mechanism of citations as a gamma mixture of Poisson processes generating overall a negative binomial distribution. This is tested empirically with a large sample of papers published in 1990 from six management science journals and found to fit well. The model is extended to include obsolescence, i.e., that the citation rate for a paper varies over its cited lifetime. This leads to the additional citations distribution which shows that future citations are a linear function of past citations with a time-dependent and decreasing slope. This is also verified empirically in a way that allows different obsolescence functions to be fitted to the data. Conclusions concerning the predictability of future citations, and future research in this area are discussed.

Date

26.12.2007 19:22:05

Burrell, Q.L.: Predicting future citation behavior (2003) 0.04

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Date: 29. 3.2003 19:22:48
Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and technology. 54(2003) no.5, S.372-378

Burrell, Q.L.: Fitting Lotka's law : some cautionary observations on a recent paper by Newby et al. (2003) (2004) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 55(2004) no.13, S.1209-1210

Burrell, Q.L.: "Type/Token-Taken" informetrics : Some comments and further examples (2003) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and technology. 54(2003) no.13, S.1260-1263

Burrell, Q.L.: "Ambiguity" ans scientometric measurement : a dissenting view (2001) 0.01
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Abstract

Abe Bookstein has long been a persuasive advocate of the central role of the classical Lotka-Bradford-Zipf "laws" in bibliometrics and, subsequently, scientometrics and informetrics. In a series of often-quoted papers (Bookstein, 1977, 1990a, 1990b, 1997), he has sought to demonstrate that "Lotka-type" laws have a unique resilience to various forms of reporting, which leads inevitably and naturally to their observance in empirical informetric data collected under a wide variety of circumstances. A general statement of his position was featured in the recent JASIST Special Topic Issue on Information Science at the Millennium (Bookstein, 2001). We shall argue that there are grounds to dispute some of the logic, the mathematics, and the reality of the development. The contention is on the one hand that Bookstein's development lacks a rigorous mathematical basis, and on the other, that, in general, informetric processes are adequately described within a standard probabilistic framework with stochastic modelling offering the more productive approach.

Source

Journal of the American Society for Information Science and technology. 52(2001) no.12, S.1075-1080

Burrell, Q.L.: Will this paper ever be cited? (2002) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and technology. 53(2002) no.3, S.232-235

Burrell, Q.L.: On Egghe's version of continuous concentration theory (2006) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 57(2006) no.10, S.1406-1411

Burrell, Q.L.: Some comments on "A proposal for a dynamic h-Type Index" by Rousseau and Ye (2009) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 60(2009) no.2, S.418-419

Burrell, Q.L.: Alternative thoughts on uncitedness (2012) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 63(2012) no.7, S.1466-1470

Burrell, Q.L.: Measuring similarity of concentration between different informetric distributions : two new approaches (2005) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 56(2005) no.7, S.704-714

Burrell, Q.L.: Egghe's construction of Lorenz curves resolved (2007) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 58(2007) no.13, S.2157-2159

Burrell, Q.L.: Formulae for the h-index : a lack of robustness in Lotkaian informetrics? (2013) 0.01

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Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 64(2013) no.7, S.1504-1514

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